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Posts Tagged ‘stock action’

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY NOVEMBER 3, 2018

November 3rd, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR NOVEMBER 3, 2018: The stock market had a key reversal on Monday that carried over all the way until Friday morning. In the process, it has recovered much of its losses over the month. Right now, several of the breadth indicators have short-term overbought readings suggesting that a retest of the previous lows could be in the making. If we are to assume that the bull market is only in a correction mode, then it would make sense to take positions on weakness as it nears last Monday’s previous lows. If that retest comes on light volume, then a reversal to the upside is even more likely.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading 7 or “Extreme Fear.” This reading suggests that there is plenty of room for the market to rally. This time of year can be particularly tricky, but present several trading opportunities. But not everyone is suited for playing this much volatility and I happen to fall into that category. But a light volume retest of the previous lows would present a lower-risk entry point for the next ride up. But you never know about this market. It may just continue to go straight up from here.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY OCTOBER 28, 2018

October 28th, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR OCTOBER 28, 2018: The stock market dropped hard last week taking out support levels in all indices. With several breadth indicators in oversold territory, one would expect another bounce to occur soon. But in terms to sustaining a strong upside rally, I expect more downside with lower lows. If we should get oversold readings in the McClellan Oscillators, I’d want to play a relief rally of several hundred points. That could come sometime next week with a test of the early 2018 lows around 2530 in the S&P 500.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading 7 or “Extreme Fear.” It has been in this territory for a few weeks now and is an indicator of a major correction if not the start of a Bear Market. But in “Wall Street Craps” terms, the tables are cold and lots of money can be lost betting heavier on a cold table. So aside from a quick light trade with tight stops, you should keep most of your money on the sidelines.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY OCTOBER 21, 2018

October 21st, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR OCTOBER 21, 2018: The stock market has either completed its bounce or is in the process of retesting the previous lows. I have a hunch that whichever direction the market goes on Monday, the rest of the week will do the opposite. So if we get a rally on Monday, I’d be selling into that strength, but conversely I’d be buying on a retest of the lows. Of course this is a gamble, but something that I see as an opportunity for gain.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading 14 or “Extreme Fear.” It has been in the this area for over a week and usually doesn’t stay here for more than two weeks. So the market is either going to rally here or is in the middle point of a decline into a lower-risk buying zone before the election.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – OCTOBER 14, 2018

October 13th, 2018 Comments off

The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” has a current reading of 11 after reaching an even more extreme reading of 5 on Friday. This suggests that the market is within the buying opportunity area.

This indicator has gone down enough but only may need to spend more time in this area before rallying upwards in the coming weeks.

With the internal indicators in “oversold” readings, this suggests that a tradable bottom could occur in this time period – which is within the next two weeks. However, there is always the possibility of one more crash down of obvious “bad news” in order to shake out the weak hands.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY SEPTEMBER 30, 2018

September 30th, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR SEPTEMBER 30, 2018: The stock market is churning at a high consolidation area which neither good or bad. While it may seem like the market is overdue for a correction after this long rally, it still shows resiliency in the face of a mixed bag of political and economic news. With the three timing indicators set almost identically around the neutral reading of “50,” I’d expect the market to either correct into a short-term bottom or rally into resistance and a short-term top. But most of all, there is nothing to do right now.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading 47 or “Neutral.” This makes the market within striking range of a quick move to “Extreme Fear” under 25 and a chance to a short-term tradable rally to participate in.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY SEPTEMBER 23, 2018

September 23rd, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR SEPTEMBER 23, 2018: The market’s rally has continued to push upwards while running into resistance. The current breadth indicators are presently in mid-range (neutral) and suggests that another challenge to new All-Time Highs is likely in the near term. If we should get an “oversold” condition in the coming weeks, it would be worth the risk to trade for another leg of the rally despite the time and extent of this bull run.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading 75 or “Extreme Greed.” This doesn’t mean that the market is overbought and time to sell. But it does suggest that it is not the time to buy. That would come on a move to the “Extreme Fear” territory.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – DECEMBER 22, 2016

December 22nd, 2016 Comments off

Today’s  “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index” reading has moved from “Extreme Greed” to “Greed” as of this week. Any return to new highs by the Major Indices will most likely move the needle back into the “Extreme Greed” territory. However, this second return to “Extreme Greed” territory will most likely signal the final rally of this move. Expect the first weeks of January to be tricky and counter-intuitive.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – DECEMBER 10, 2016

December 10th, 2016 Comments off

fear-and-greed-december-9Last week’s stock market strategy report said that the general market was surprisingly “oversold” and ready for an extension of the post-election rally. We certainly got that rally and more with the “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index” pushing into the “Extreme Greed” range for all 5 days. I would still expect a few days with readings over 90 before this rally has exhausted itself. But this is still no place to be going long and only the pros should consider heavy betting on the downside. If you’re inclined to trade, this may be a time to step aside and let the market zig-zag higher with non-confirmations or zig-zag lower into another short-term oversold condition. Either of these scenarios appears to be more than a week away. So stay on the sidelines and let the market set itself up for the next trading opportunity.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY – DECEMBER 4, 2016

December 3rd, 2016 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR DECEMBER 4, 2016: The stock market has been correcting its move from the election lows over the past several days. With the majority of internal breadth indicators at “oversold” readings, a short-term rally should begin now. This final rally should mark the end of the big move from February’s low. Look for this rally to be lead by the oil stocks and unconfirmed by the leading technology stocks which typically signals the end of a major move.

Key underlying short-term market indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading “Greed” after a short stint in the “Extreme Greed” territory. If we get a rally from right here, the new readings should mostly be in the “Extreme Greed” area and signal a time to get out of the market for the intermediate term. Expect a decline after this next rally to last two to three months and probably retract all of the “Trump Rally” and possibly more. But for now, look for one more short-term rally with several non-confirmations to finish this major move from the February lows.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – NOVEMBER 27, 2016

November 27th, 2016 Comments off

fear-greed-nov-26This indicator is labeled as being in the “Greed” zone right now.  Ideal buying opportunities have only occurred when the general market has been in the “Extreme Fear” zone. Conversely, optimal selling opportunities tend to occur when the general market has been in the “Extreme Greed” zone. This suggests that the market needs a little more time in order to generate greater greed in order to sell. So don’t be surprised if the market continues to zig-zag its way to higher highs. With the strength of this move, the market can stay in the “Extreme Greed” area for over  a week as well.