Wall Street Craps – 2012 Global Ebook Finance Award-Winner

The stock market has broken to the downside after hovering for several weeks in a tight trading zone. The short-term indicators are very oversold so a bounce can be expected in the next day or two to release that upside pressure. But after this bounce, you can expect the market to return to the downside since the intermediate-term NYSE McClellan Summation Index has made its turn to the downside with very negative historical indications.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

• NYSE McClellan Oscillator – Ultimate Indicator – 18 (oversold)
• Nasdaq McClellan Oscillator – Ultimate Indicator – 18 (oversold)
• Volatility Indicator – Ultimate Indicator – 37 (neutral)
• NYSE Advance/Decline Oscillator – Ultimate Indicator – 24 (oversold)

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NYSE McClellan Summation Index: This index’s oscillator has a current reading of 58 but is now clearly turning down after rallying for about a month. Timewise, this downturn can be expected to start accelerating in about 5-7 days. Use this anticipated bounce to unload on your long positions with the intent of buying back after this indicator bottoms several weeks from now.

Fear/Greed Index: This popular indicator is in the “Neutral” territory with a reading of 52. This indicator has a long way to go before it registers a buy signal below a reading of 25 or “Extreme Fear.”

The stock market is hovering just below its recent short-term high. With nearly all of the oscillators having been overbought at the beginning of this past week, there is a good chance of a retest of the recent highs. But this retest is likely to fail and start a sharp decline to challenge the October lows. This is not a good time to be taking long positions, but possibly one to take light short positions.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

• NYSE McClellan Oscillator – Ultimate Indicator – 58 (neutral)
• Nasdaq McClellan Oscillator – Ultimate Indicator – 57 (neutral)
• Volatility Indicator – Ultimate Indicator – 75 (overbought)
• NYSE Advance/Decline Oscillator – Ultimate Indicator – 69 (neutral)

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NYSE McClellan Summation Index: This index’s oscillator has a current reading of 50. It has been coming out of a good low position from two weeks ago and is likely to continue its upwards move to an overbought positions in 2-3 weeks. This is one of the more bullish indicators.

Fear/Greed Index: This popular indicator is in the “Greed” territory with a reading of 57. This is a neutral position with plenty of room to go up or down.