FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – NOVEMBER 18, 2017

November 18th, 2017 Comments off


The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” reading has a current reading of 44 which is in the “Fear” zone. This allows the market to go in either direction so it is neither a selling or a buying area.

But this indicator continues to move across its range from “Extreme Greed” readings around 90 just a few weeks ago. Recent buying opportunities have come when this indicator gets a reading of 25 or lower.

Today’s “Fear” reading is the first one is a long time and may be suggesting that an oversold/pessimistic bottom is coming in the next few weeks. That would present a chance to get back onboard the market for another ride up to new highs.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY NOVEMBER 12, 2017

November 12th, 2017 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR NOVEMBER 12, 2017: The stock market has experienced a short correction in its rally since the August bottom. The internal indicators are slightly oversold and can support a continuation of the rally with the aid of any good news. But ideally, if the market continues to correct, it will set up a better buying opportunity around Thanksgiving or in the seasonal bottoming time around mid-December. For now, it looks like a good time to wait for a better entry point for a ride up into the New Year.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

***********

THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading “Neutral” after a long stay in the both the “Greed” and “Extreme Greed” territory. But a quick move lower into the “Extreme Fear” would probably present a good buying opportunity. I’m inclined to wait for such a time especially when that reading coincides with oversold readings in the internal indicators above. So for now, it’s a time for patience.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – NOVEMBER 5, 2017

November 5th, 2017 Comments off


The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” reading has a current reading of 66 which is in the “Greed” zone. This allows the market to go in either direction so it is neither a selling or a buying area.

One might think that the market’s continuing rally has to stop and correct at the very least. But it appears that there are still major portions of the general market that have stayed modest in their appreciation and present opportunities for price advances.

But since this indicator was in the “Extreme Greed” area for a long time, it may be working its way toward the “Extreme Fear” area and a buying opportunity a few weeks away from now.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY OCTOBER 21, 2017

October 21st, 2017 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR OCTOBER 21, 2017: The stock market continues to march upwards fueled by good news on the tax reform front. This rally has continued while many internal indicators have been reaching “oversold” levels. This would not appear to make any sense at all. Because of these confusing signals in the general market, it might be better to be on the sidelines until oversold indicators match up with market bottoms, not market tops.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

***********

THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading “Extreme Greed” after a short stay in the “Greed” territory. This is a simple indicator that guides an investor into the foundational discipline of buying low and selling high. Based on this indicator, this is not a “buy low” scenario, but instead a “sell high” environment. But more importantly, this is a unique time of a market with few, if any, remaining bears and almost total agreement on the bullish side. It’s just a matter of how long it can remain that way and what will be the trigger that finally creates a significant decline. But the truth is that no one really knows!

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – OCTOBER 3, 2017

October 2nd, 2017 Comments off


The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” reading has been in the “Extreme Greed” zone for several days now. It has even gone to the far extreme by posting a reading of 90 which probably marks an “internal top” or point of maximum upside momentum.

While this isn’t the only indicator of the market’s condition, it has represented a reliable gauge of market sentiment in the past. When the market is “over-loved” like it is now, it matches both the present overbought (in terms of price action) and overvalued (fundamental) condition.

Together, these 3 gauges confirm that this is highly likely the area of an important top and certainly not a time to become more bullish and hold large bets for more upside appreciation. That doesn’t mean that they market can’t go any higher in terms of price, but it does suggest that it won’t be going up for very much longer. If there is a time to move to the sidelines, this would be one of those.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY SEPTEMBER 23, 2017

September 23rd, 2017 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR SEPTEMBER 23, 2017: The stock market is at the top of its price range with a few of the internal indicators in overbought territory. But other indicators show neutral readings which still allows the market to go in either direction with equal likelihood. This is one of those times where it’s probably most prudent to lighten up on over-extended positions and wait to add when the next oversold condition presents itself.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

***********

THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading “Greed” after being in the “Extreme Greed” range for a few days last week. Many times this means that this indicator will traverse itself from an “Extreme Greed” reading back down to an “Extreme Fear” reading. But most of all, this index is saying that this is not a good time to be buying. The next week should be interesting as the general market may be setting up for an October Crash. Stay alert!

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – SEPTEMBER 16, 2017

September 16th, 2017 Comments off


The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” reading is once again back in the “Extreme Greed” range after being in the “Extreme Fear” zone only a few weeks ago. At the beginning of this week, most of the internal indicators were showing “overbought” conditions. Plus, the market indices are pushing against resistance levels at the top of the price ranges.

All of these point to a time when it’s too late to buy and most likely a good time to sell or lighten up. And while this Fear/Greed Index is showing “Extreme Greed,” it can still move closer to the 90-95 range before exhausting itself to the upside.

Now is a time to start building up cash for the next buying opportunity when this indicator is back in the “Extreme Greed” area. That time is several weeks away.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY SEPTEMBER 10, 2017

September 10th, 2017 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR SEPTEMBER 10, 2017: The stock market is in a sort of “no-man’s land” right now. Last week, it was in an “overbought” area and now it may be tracing out a pattern across its price range towards an “oversold” condition. With all of the internal indicators showing “neutral” readings, there is plenty of room for the market to go in either direction. But we are in the time of year when tops and bottoms can form, it would be prudent to play it safely right now and wait for a better opportunity to take shape in the coming weeks.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

***********

THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading “Fear” after being in the “neutral” range for a few days. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this index go back into the “Extreme Fear” range before finally hitting the bottom of this sideways correction. There isn’t any immediate action that needs to take place right now. This is a time to build cash reserves in anticipation of a better buying opportunity in the coming weeks.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY SEPTEMBER 4, 2017

September 3rd, 2017 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR SEPTEMBER 4, 2017: The stock market finds itself at the top of its trading range once again after being in the “Extreme Fear” area of the Fear/Greed Index for several days. With all five internal indicators reading “overbought,” it is time to take some profits and refrain from buying just now. This rally probably has a few more days before it corrects. But it’s anyone’s guess whether this next dip is going to be sideways, shallow, brief or extended. This is a very tricky time of year and with all that’s going on in terms of political and tax-reform news the volatility in the market can be expected to increase significantly. Thus, you don’t want to take too many chances of being on the wrong side of the market.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

***********

THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading “Neutral” after being in the “Extreme Fear” range for many days. Usually this marks an intermediate term bottom, but the correction has been so shallow that it’s difficult to call it anymore than a “dip.” With the market short-term overbought, it would be prudent to avoid new purchases right now. But with the market near resistance price levels, I’d be looking for obvious non-confirmations as a sign of a trend-reversal. But more than anything, this is a time to be cautious and manage your chips wisely.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – AUGUST 19, 2017

August 19th, 2017 Comments off


The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” reading is finally in the “Extreme Fear” range for the second day in a row at 17. This indicator is now suggesting that the general stock market is in a “buying opportunity” zone.

This is a minimum requirement for taking new positions in the general stock market. In the past, it is not unusual for market bottoms to occur when this index is under 10. But overall, the market is close to a bottom and it wouldn’t be such a bad idea to start taking positions on any further weakness even though your “palms are sweaty.”

But in times and opportunities like this, money management strategies are the key to success. In my book, Wall Street Craps: How to Play Today’s Hot & Cold Markets for Fast Money With Less Risk, I write about dividing your investing capital into “chips” or even blocks of money.

For example, if you have $100, divide this amount into 20 $5 chips. Your first bet might be $5 or $10 or 5% or 10% of your investing capital. So the present situation would be one where you make a first bet. This means that the present buying opportunity should only be 5%-10% of your investing or trading capital. This is because you may be a little early at this time and in steep market drops being early can be costly and dangerous.