PROJECTED POST-THANKSGIVING BUYING OPPORTUNITY

November 14th, 2018 Comments off

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WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY NOVEMBER 10, 2018

November 10th, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR NOVEMBER 10, 2018: The stock market made a huge upside move in response to the election results on Wednesday. The question is whether that move signified a breakout to a new highs or a last grasp top for the latest bounce. Since this is anyone’s guess, the next entry point would likely be an oversold condition in the majority of breadth indicators. But a strong move down from here and a resumption of October’s down move would certainly change the character of the market again. This is a time for caution, as well as a time for opportunity for those willing to accept the risks and stomach the volatility.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading 18 or “Extreme Fear.” While this is still in the “Extreme Fear” category, it is far off of the lows from the previous two weeks. This might suggest that the market is simply retracing its strong move up with a chance of forming another pivot bottom in about 5-10 trading days. So be alert and ready to act on a brief buying opportunity ahead.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY NOVEMBER 3, 2018

November 3rd, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR NOVEMBER 3, 2018: The stock market had a key reversal on Monday that carried over all the way until Friday morning. In the process, it has recovered much of its losses over the month. Right now, several of the breadth indicators have short-term overbought readings suggesting that a retest of the previous lows could be in the making. If we are to assume that the bull market is only in a correction mode, then it would make sense to take positions on weakness as it nears last Monday’s previous lows. If that retest comes on light volume, then a reversal to the upside is even more likely.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading 7 or “Extreme Fear.” This reading suggests that there is plenty of room for the market to rally. This time of year can be particularly tricky, but present several trading opportunities. But not everyone is suited for playing this much volatility and I happen to fall into that category. But a light volume retest of the previous lows would present a lower-risk entry point for the next ride up. But you never know about this market. It may just continue to go straight up from here.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY OCTOBER 28, 2018

October 28th, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR OCTOBER 28, 2018: The stock market dropped hard last week taking out support levels in all indices. With several breadth indicators in oversold territory, one would expect another bounce to occur soon. But in terms to sustaining a strong upside rally, I expect more downside with lower lows. If we should get oversold readings in the McClellan Oscillators, I’d want to play a relief rally of several hundred points. That could come sometime next week with a test of the early 2018 lows around 2530 in the S&P 500.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading 7 or “Extreme Fear.” It has been in this territory for a few weeks now and is an indicator of a major correction if not the start of a Bear Market. But in “Wall Street Craps” terms, the tables are cold and lots of money can be lost betting heavier on a cold table. So aside from a quick light trade with tight stops, you should keep most of your money on the sidelines.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY OCTOBER 21, 2018

October 21st, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR OCTOBER 21, 2018: The stock market has either completed its bounce or is in the process of retesting the previous lows. I have a hunch that whichever direction the market goes on Monday, the rest of the week will do the opposite. So if we get a rally on Monday, I’d be selling into that strength, but conversely I’d be buying on a retest of the lows. Of course this is a gamble, but something that I see as an opportunity for gain.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading 14 or “Extreme Fear.” It has been in the this area for over a week and usually doesn’t stay here for more than two weeks. So the market is either going to rally here or is in the middle point of a decline into a lower-risk buying zone before the election.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – OCTOBER 14, 2018

October 13th, 2018 Comments off

The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” has a current reading of 11 after reaching an even more extreme reading of 5 on Friday. This suggests that the market is within the buying opportunity area.

This indicator has gone down enough but only may need to spend more time in this area before rallying upwards in the coming weeks.

With the internal indicators in “oversold” readings, this suggests that a tradable bottom could occur in this time period – which is within the next two weeks. However, there is always the possibility of one more crash down of obvious “bad news” in order to shake out the weak hands.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY SEPTEMBER 30, 2018

September 30th, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR SEPTEMBER 30, 2018: The stock market is churning at a high consolidation area which neither good or bad. While it may seem like the market is overdue for a correction after this long rally, it still shows resiliency in the face of a mixed bag of political and economic news. With the three timing indicators set almost identically around the neutral reading of “50,” I’d expect the market to either correct into a short-term bottom or rally into resistance and a short-term top. But most of all, there is nothing to do right now.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading 47 or “Neutral.” This makes the market within striking range of a quick move to “Extreme Fear” under 25 and a chance to a short-term tradable rally to participate in.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY SEPTEMBER 23, 2018

September 23rd, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR SEPTEMBER 23, 2018: The market’s rally has continued to push upwards while running into resistance. The current breadth indicators are presently in mid-range (neutral) and suggests that another challenge to new All-Time Highs is likely in the near term. If we should get an “oversold” condition in the coming weeks, it would be worth the risk to trade for another leg of the rally despite the time and extent of this bull run.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading 75 or “Extreme Greed.” This doesn’t mean that the market is overbought and time to sell. But it does suggest that it is not the time to buy. That would come on a move to the “Extreme Fear” territory.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY JULY 31, 2018

July 31st, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR JULY 31, 2018: The market has dropped quickly into a semi-oversold condition. This would suggest that a bounce could occur in the next day or two. But after the bounce should come another wave down into a better buying opportunity. Be ready in case the market presents the right conditions for a tradable rally at the end of this week or the beginning to next week.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The Fear/Greed Index is currently reading 64 or “Greed.” I’m still awaiting for a quick move into the “Extremely Fear” area in order to feel like the conditions are ripe for a more sustainable rally. So, we continue to wait for a better trading opportunity to the upside.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY JULY 23, 2018

July 22nd, 2018 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR JULY 23, 2018: The stock market has been hovering in a trading range for several weeks now. This choppy action presents only short-term trading opportunities. But rallies from oversold conditions have been producing profitable moves for nimble traders. With that in mind, I have selected what I consider as the four more reliable technical indicators when used together for short-term trading. This change is designed to make decisions easier to make with the understanding that only small & short-term trading positions are being maintained.

Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The market appears to be at a short-term top and it is time to step aside for now. Another short-term upside set-up will take at least another week to develop.