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Archive for the ‘Fear & Greed Index’ Category

FEAR/GREED IS NOW REGISTERING “EXTREME FEAR”

August 6th, 2019 Comments off

The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” has a current reading of “22” which is the first step to getting a tradable bottom. But keep in mind that more often than not, the final bottom or ideal buy point occurs when this indicator is below a reading of “10.”

THE LOWEST READING SINCE THIS INDICATOR’S INCEPTION!

December 22nd, 2018 Comments off

The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” has a current reading of “2” which is the lowest number since this indicator’s inception. This suggests that market sentiment is at levels last seen in the 2008-2009 bear market. However, this doesn’t necessarily mean that the market is ready to go up just now. But what this does do is potentially indicate the location of the “internal bottom” of the market. The “external bottom” or lowest Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price will likely follow 2-5 weeks later. On this second “external bottom” there will be many non-confirmations to show it’s a final bottom. This type of set-up won’t happen until January.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – OCTOBER 14, 2018

October 13th, 2018 Comments off

The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” has a current reading of 11 after reaching an even more extreme reading of 5 on Friday. This suggests that the market is within the buying opportunity area.

This indicator has gone down enough but only may need to spend more time in this area before rallying upwards in the coming weeks.

With the internal indicators in “oversold” readings, this suggests that a tradable bottom could occur in this time period – which is within the next two weeks. However, there is always the possibility of one more crash down of obvious “bad news” in order to shake out the weak hands.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – JUNE 30, 2018

June 30th, 2018 Comments off

The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” has a current reading of 34 which is in the “Fear” zone. This suggests that the market is within range of a buying opportunity on further weakness.

This indicator has been in the “neutral” area for some time as well as “Fear” and “Greed,” but it has avoided both “Extreme Fear” and “Extreme Greed” readings in past month.

With the internal indicators approaching “oversold” readings, this suggests that a tradable bottom could occur in the coming week to 10 days. While it is uncertain to how powerful a rally might be from here, it probably is worth taking some positions on weakness particularly if it is accompanied by “obvious bad news.”

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – APRIL 14, 2018

April 14th, 2018 Comments off

The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” has a current reading of 23 which is in the “Extreme Fear” zone. This suggests that the market is in a buying range and not a selling range. Tactically, this means that you should either buy or hold depending on your situation.

This indicator has remained in the “Extreme Fear” area for an abnormally long time. I would guess that it will leave this “oversold” area shortly and not return for some time. (After perhaps, one more spike down)

I would look to buy on any 2 to 3 day weakness that is accompanied by “obvious bad news” as the cover story for a good bottom in the market. I think that the next retest of the recent bottoms will be successful and that a sharp rally should follow. The only trick will be if the weakness occurs on a Friday where traders will have to sweat out the weekend of potentially more bad news.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – MARCH 18, 2018

March 18th, 2018 Comments off

The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” reading has a current reading of 19 which is in the “Extreme Fear” zone. This suggests that the market is in a buying range and not a selling range. Tactically, this means that you should either buy or hold depending on your situation.

This indicator ventured out into the “Fear” area about a week ago, but has returned back into the “Extreme Greed” zone once again. My guess is that this indicator will not stay in the “Extreme Greed” area very long since it has already spent an abnormally long period of time in it last month.

I would look to buy weakness especially if we should receive oversold readings in breadth indicators, moves toward major indexes 200-day moving averages or retests of previous correction lows. While it is hard to say how much higher the general market can go up from here, the important thing to keep in mind is that this market has been correcting for a long enough time to support a healthy multi-month rally.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – MARCH 2, 2018

March 1st, 2018 Comments off

The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” reading has a current reading of 8 which is well into the “Extreme Fear” zone. This suggests that the market is in a buying range and not a selling range. Tactically, this means that you should either buy or hold depending on your situation.

This indicator has remained in the “Extreme Fear” area for several weeks now. This is very abnormal and suggests that we have corrected long enough in terms of time. But the charts of the major indexes don’t appear to have declined enough in terms of price.

Today’s “Extreme Fear” reading means that it’s time to start taking pilot positions if you’re under-invested in preparation for a rally to challenge the old highs. A bottom may likely appear on either Friday or Monday but actually picking that bottom will be hard to do as always. You will have sweaty palms from the fear of taking a risk here, but it’s about time for the market to get out of the “Extreme Fear” zone. It’s been here too long.

Note: This reading of 8 is the lowest of this current down cycle and may mark the bottom of this correction.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – JANUARY 20, 2018

January 20th, 2018 Comments off

The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” reading has a current reading of 80 which is in the “Extreme Greed” zone. This suggests that the market is in a selling range and not a buying range. Tactically, this means that you should either sell or hold depending on your situation.

This indicator has remained in the “Extreme Greed” area for most of last week. However, this gauge was in the “neutral” zone not too long ago. But we never got into the “Fear” range with a chance to reload for this ride to the upside.

Today’s “Extreme Greed” reading means that it’s time to be on the sidelines waiting for the sentiment to become more negative and present another buying opportunity. That’s going to take a few weeks at a minimum.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – DECEMBER 31, 2017

December 31st, 2017 Comments off

The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” reading has a current reading of 53 which is in the “Neutral” zone. This allows the market to go in either direction so it is neither a selling or a buying area.

This indicator has remained in the “Greed” area for most of December which is surprising when you consider the duration and extent of this rally. While recent buying opportunities have come when this indicator gets a reading of 25 or lower, the market may continue to rally without any resistance.

Today’s “Neutral” reading is a small move in the direction towards “Extreme Fear” and may be suggesting that an oversold/pessimistic bottom is coming in the first week or two of 2018. That would present a chance to get back onboard the market for another ride up to new highs.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX – NOVEMBER 18, 2017

November 18th, 2017 Comments off


The “Fear/Greed Sentiment Index: What Emotion is Driving the Market Now?” reading has a current reading of 44 which is in the “Fear” zone. This allows the market to go in either direction so it is neither a selling or a buying area.

But this indicator continues to move across its range from “Extreme Greed” readings around 90 just a few weeks ago. Recent buying opportunities have come when this indicator gets a reading of 25 or lower.

Today’s “Fear” reading is the first one in a long time and may be suggesting that an oversold/pessimistic bottom is coming in the next few weeks. That would present a chance to get back onboard the market for another ride up to new highs.