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FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX OCTOBER 7, 2016

October 7th, 2016 Comments off

feargreedoct8This indicator is labeled as being in the “Neutral” zone right now.  Ideal buying opportunities have only occurred when the general market has been in the “Extreme Fear” zone. This suggests that the market needs more time and greater fear in order to set itself up for a better intermediate-term buying opportunity. (Source: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed)

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY – OCTOBER 3, 2016

October 3rd, 2016 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR OCTOBER 3, 2016: The stock market has been climbing and dropping in the same price range for several weeks now. There isn’t a clear trend and the current market is neutral in terms of overbought vs. oversold. With the national election only a month away, I suspect that the markets will make a clearer trend before and then afterwards. So if we rally into the election, expect the opposite to occur after the election and vice versa. For now, keep your powder dry and wait for a better entry point.

Key underlying short-term market indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The internal indicators are neutral and trending down slightly. This would suggest that the market is likely to decline over the near term with the chance of reaching an oversold condition shortly. That would set up a rally to challenge and maybe exceed the all-time highs as we approach the elections. But right now isn’t an attractive time to buy unless we can get some more bearishness and lower prices.

FEAR/GREED SENTIMENT INDEX SEPTEMBER 18, 2016

September 18th, 2016 Comments off

fear-greed-sept-17While this indicator is labeled as being in the “Fear” zone, the ideal buying opportunities have occurred when the general market has been in the “Extreme Fear” zone. This suggests that the market needs more time and greater fear in order to set itself up for a better intermediate-term buying opportunity. (Source: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed)

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY – SEPTEMBER 18, 2016

September 17th, 2016 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR SEPTEMBER 18, 2016: The stock market has retreated and bounced around for the last few weeks. The internal indicators are near the lower range and could reach oversold readings if the market should fall in the coming days. Look for weakness early this week with the opportunity to buy near the end of the week for another run to new highs. If that scenario doesn’t set up that way, then step aside and let the market create a different kind of opportunity further down the road.

Key underlying short-term market indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The internal indicators are neutral but within range of a bottom. While the readings have not been very severe to the downside, the length of time in this lower range suggests that a move up should be coming soon. It is based on that factor, that I’d be ready to move into action should we see weakness at the beginning of next week.

BLOGGER SENTIMENT FOR THE WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 12-16, 2016

September 14th, 2016 Comments off

sept-12-16-blogger-sentimentThere has been an important shift in sentiment as the bears now outnumber the bulls 41.67% to 37.50%. This is one of the first prerequisites to forming an intermediate-term bottom. Now we need some more downside action to produce a higher degree of fear and for the internal breadth indicators to move into a deeply oversold area. That could happen as early as Friday, but more likely next week sometime. My guess is that the “Brexit Bottom” will hold and even serve as the most extreme lower boundary for any spike down in price.

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY – SEPTEMBER 5, 2016

September 5th, 2016 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR SEPTEMBER 5, 2016: The stock market reached a short-term low intraday on Wednesday. Since that time, the internal oscillators have been trending up. This has been a sideways correction with the Dow remaining in a 300-point trading range for 38 straight trading days. Another new closing high in the coming week is certainly possible. But overall, the market did not become oversold enough or create enough of a sentiment shift to fuel the market towards a big move upwards.

Key underlying short-term market indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The internal indicators are all trending up after last Wednesday’s bottom. That gives the general market time to rally more and reach new high ground. But since the market did not become deeply oversold, I would be careful about being either long or short with any significant positions. A better risk/reward opportunity should present itself in the coming months which historically has been volatile. Keep your powder dry instead.

BLOGGER SENTIMENT FOR THE WEEK OF AUGUST 29-SEPTEMBER 2, 2016

August 30th, 2016 Comments off

Blogger Sept 2This sentiment indicator shows Bullish Sentiment at 45.83% and Non-Bullish Sentiment (Bearish + Neutral) at 54.17%. With this largely even spread between the bullish and non-bullish market stances among stock market bloggers, the general market can be deemed as “neutral” overall. That means that the market can go in either direction without bias. (Source: Ticker Sense)

WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY – AUGUST 24, 2016

August 25th, 2016 Comments off

craps front coverSTOCK MARKET STRATEGY FOR AUGUST 24, 2016: The stock market’s drop today has sent the breadth oscillators downwards towards a possible oversold condition by the beginning of next week. At this point, the market may begin to show more weakness and finally give us a clear pattern from which to trade from. So keep your powder dry and be ready to take positions in case an oversold scenario starts to take shape.

Key underlying short-term market indicators show the following:

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THE BOTTOM LINE: The internal indicators show that the market is finally trending downwards in unison. With today’s action, we have a pattern that may lead to a buying opportunity very shortly. This will probably be a “V-shaped” bottom without any kind of retest so be ready to take action on weakness in a few days. It may even be a spike down towards a key 200-day moving average which chartists will point to as being the pivot point. So be ready for a short-term trade on the long-side if the market sets up that way.

BLOGGER SENTIMENT FOR THE WEEK OF AUGUST 15-19, 2016

August 17th, 2016 Comments off

Blogger Sentiment aug 15This sentiment indicator shows that the stock market is more bullish than bearish, but not as much as last week. In fact, the non-bullish elements of “neutral” and “bearish” add up to 52% of the survey. So based on the history of this indicator, the market is relatively neutral from a behavioral/sentiment perspective. This means that despite the long run-up since February 11, 2016, the market still has room to continue higher. (Source: Ticker Sense)

Put/Call Ratio Market Timing For August 15, 2016

August 16th, 2016 Comments off

Aug 16 put call ratioThe stock market appears to be at the very end of its rally since February 11, 2016. The only thing that prevents me from being downright bearish, is the possibility that the Brexit bottom may have already flushed out the weak hands and created an intermediate-term low. But most of all, this indicator makes an investor or trader aware of the risks to holding long positions in the general market at this time. Better odds for upside appreciation seems likely at another time down the road. (Source: www.optionstrategist.com)