WALL STREET CRAPS STOCK MARKET STRATEGY APRIL 26, 2023
The stock market has broken to the downside after hovering for several weeks in a tight trading zone. The short-term indicators are very oversold so a bounce can be expected in the next day or two to release that upside pressure. But after this bounce, you can expect the market to return to the downside since the intermediate-term NYSE McClellan Summation Index has made its turn to the downside with very negative historical indications.
Key underlying short-term timing indicators show the following:
- NYSE McClellan Oscillator – Ultimate Indicator – 18 (oversold)
- Nasdaq McClellan Oscillator – Ultimate Indicator – 18 (oversold)
- Volatility Indicator – Ultimate Indicator – 37 (neutral)
- NYSE Advance/Decline Oscillator – Ultimate Indicator – 24 (oversold)
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NYSE McClellan Summation Index: This index’s oscillator has a current reading of 58 but is now clearly turning down after rallying for about a month. Timewise, this downturn can be expected to start accelerating in about 5-7 days. Use this anticipated bounce to unload on your long positions with the intent of buying back after this indicator bottoms several weeks from now.
Fear/Greed Index: This popular indicator is in the “Neutral” territory with a reading of 52. This indicator has a long way to go before it registers a buy signal below a reading of 25 or “Extreme Fear.”